The Bihar election results have brought the Modi rath to a
standstill. The Delhi elections had already dented the aura around the Modi –
Amit Shah Combination. Now, the Bihar elections have punctured their vehicle
badly. They urgently need to replace a Tyre or two, if they have to run at the
same speed again.
The debate and
analysis about the colossal failure and the charismatic victory shall go for a
long time to come. This was one election, where every forecast and predication was
proved wrong, including those made by the responsible media houses. Nitish
Kumar has now created a divine halo around himself as an invincible CM of Bihar
and he shall undoubtedly be the front runner as the PM candidate of the
opposition parties in 2019 general elections.
The most stunning element of this election had been the
phoenix like rising of Lalu Prasad Yadav, who was almost written off by all and
sundry. His campaign style shall be under close scrutiny to find out the
winning mantra, which he had adopted to script such a spectacular victory
against all odds. He has actually given a fresh lease of life to all his family
members, who were fast fading into oblivion. He has rekindled strong hopes in
their mind about occupying positions of power in Bihar politics. His stupendous
victory, nevertheless, makes one wonder about the audacity of the Bihar voters
who did not mind voting for the party of a person, who lost his membership of
Parliament due to proven corruption charges, and who is disqualified for
contesting any elections by none other than the Supreme Court of India.
In this scenario, the one party, which washed its hands in
the strong currents of flowing Ganga River, is the Congress. It has improved
its tally from 4 to 27, which is an incredible 575 percent jump. This victory
is very sweet for Congress, as it has been a long time since it has tested some
success. The party cadre of Congress is suddenly rejuvenated and energized. That
inspired the party leadership too. The party leadership was the first one to
make a public appearance as if it was the single largest party in the
elections.
Going forward, it is a difficult road ahead for all the
stakeholders except the Congress. Here is the analysis:
JD(U) will soon realize that it is extremely difficult to
provide good governance having Lalu’s inexperienced sons at the helm of affairs
and many important portfolios grabbed by Lalu’s ‘seasoned’ leaders. It would be
anything but easy to fulfil the promise of development and social justice.
However, he would have to eat the humble pie and accept his fate. He would have
not imagined in his wildest dreams about such a superlative performance from
Lalu, pushing even himself to a second position. It will be a most sympathetic exhibition
of a tightrope walk by Nitish for the next five years, or till this government
lasts, whichever comes first. Nitish’s MLAs are going to develop strong animosity
towards the RJD MLAs in no time, though
it may take some time before it comes out in open.
RJD is having a field day. It is almost as if they have
found a Kalpavriksha. Ask anything and
you will get it. This new found boon is going to make all of them going berserk
and celebrate every day with a new vigor till they actually break every rule of
the law. Already Lalu is saying that he shall travel around the country
building an opinion against the ruling party. So, what Kejriwal could not do,
Lalu is attempting to do. What an irony. The best thing in favor of Lalu is
that he does not have any responsibility of governance. That is entrusted with
hapless Nitish. So, they indulge in all fun and frolic with a very comfortable
feeling that Nitish is the scapegoat for everything that would go wrong in the
next five years in Bihar.
The allies of BJP in the NDA are the worst sufferers of this
election and they deserve their fate. They conveniently assumed that once they
ally with Modi, they do not need to make any efforts to win the election. How
sadly mistaken they were. They lost their value in the present central
government as well because of such disastrous performance. They would need to make sustained efforts to
regain the lost ground.
In this charged atmosphere, Owaisi appeared like a comedian
who appears on stage for a while, gets slapped by the hero and returns to his
fold. He would definitely re-think before contesting elections in other states
outside Telangana. He would seriously wonder whether his small victory in Maharashtra
was a fluke.
That leaves us with the oldest party of India, the Congress.
It has increased its tally handsomely. It has no burden of performance on its
shoulders. It does not worry about which ministry it will get, because it knows
very well, what a cat can expect when sitting with two tigers. It will use this
victory to target Modi for a long time to come. It has nothing to lose and only
gain.
It is the ONLY TRUE WINNER of these elections.
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