Thursday, 14 July 2016

Arunachal Pradesh crisis explained in 10 simple points

The crisis is Arunachal Pradesh is very difficult to understand. One needs to have a high degree of constitutional and judicial knowledge to fully understand the cause, effect and justification of the series of events culminating in the current crisis.
Therefore, to make it very simpler for an average common man, here are the 10 facts, which led to the current crisis.

#1
The CM of a state expels an important minister and expels him from the party for anti-party activities.
#2
The ruling party (Congress) demands removal of the Deputy Speaker. The main opposition party (BJP) demands the removal of the Speaker.
#3
Speaker disqualifies 14 rebel MLAs. The Deputy Speaker promptly quashes the disqualification.
 #4
The government locks the assembly. The Opposition party along with rebel MLAs hold a meeting in another building. They elect a new speaker.
#5
The newly elected speaker convenes the assembly session in a hotel and they elect a new CM.
#6
The disqualified speaker approaches High court. The High court stays the disqualification of rebel MLAs.
#7
Congress drags in Supreme Court and demands imposition of President’s rule.
#8
The removed CM challenges the President’s rule in Supreme Court. The Supreme Court says the Governor cannot assume the role of a Speaker.
#9
The Supreme Court agrees for the High Court decision of staying the disqualification of rebel MLAs, enabling to form a BJP government.
#10
The Supreme Court, after almost 5 months decides the Governor’s decision unconstitutional and orders reinstatement of the Congress Government.

 …

Concluding, here are the 5 observations of this entire intriguing episode of political instability in this state.

#1
As seen above, the sequence of events would match a high octane Bollywood thriller movie, in which it is difficult to guess who is double crossing who.
#2
To assume that the situation is stable now in Arunachal Pradesh would be the most naïve thing anyone could do.
#3
To say that this is the victory of Congress and defeat for the BJP would only demonstrate lack of full knowledge on this subject.
#4
The problems for Congress are far from over. They face much bigger threat from their in-house rebels than what they face from BJP.
#5
Thanks to the crisis, the spokespersons of both Congress and BJP have at least known the names of the CM, Governor, Speaker and Deputy Speaker of this state assembly. 

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